Prediction of Geoffrey Blancaneaux vs Andres Santamarta Roig at Montemar Challenger 11-17-25

• Second serve performance: Geoffrey Blancaneaux has secured 43.75% of points on his second serve recently, slightly trailing Andres Santamarta Roig, who has 44.53%. What might this reveal about their serving consistency?
• Return game stats: Blancaneaux has an edge on returning opponents' second serves, winning 46.91% of points compared to Roig's 43.97%. Could this skill impact the match's outcome?
• First serve returns: Roig fares better, winning 29.41% of first serve returns, compared to Blancaneaux's 27.24%, an important factor in predicting a favorite.
• Pressure handling: Under pressure, Blancaneaux has saved 51.46% of breakpoints, compared with Roig's 49.51%, which could indicate superior mental resilience.
• Overall performance: In the past year, Blancaneaux has won 47.06% of his matches, while Roig edges ahead with a 55.00% success rate, suggesting better recent form.
• Surface strengths: Blancaneaux excels most on hard courts, boasting a 63% win rate, but struggles on grass. Roig shines on clay with a 63% win rate but has yet to win on hard courts.
• Competitive level: Blancaneaux often competes in Challengers/ITF tournaments, winning 46.77%, while Roig participates more in Futures/ITF, capturing 50% of his matches.
• Opponent strength: Blancaneaux has faced higher-ranked opponents, averaging a rank of 295.75, compared to Roig's 435.68 ranked opponents, potentially preparing him better for tough matches.
• Deciding set performance: Blancaneaux has a challenge in deciding sets, winning 44% of them, whereas Roig prevails in 67% of such scenarios, indicating a strong finish under pressure.
• Break point conversion: Blancaneaux is more effective at converting break point opportunities with a rate of 35.19%, ahead of Roig's 30.37%, a critical stat for determining match momentum.

Editorial Prediction (November 16, 2025, UTC):

Assessing recent performances and statistical trends reveals a competitive edge for Andres Santamarta Roig in several key areas. His slight advantage in second serve performance and higher success in converting first serve returns suggest a robust serve and return game.

Moreover, Roig's ability to close matches in deciding sets, with a 67% win rate, indicates strong mental fortitude, which could play a pivotal role in a tightly contested match. Although Geoffrey Blancaneaux shows strengths in break point efficiency and competing against higher-ranked opponents, these factors might not be enough to offset Roig's consistent match-winning ability and current form.

Considering the available data, Andres Santamarta Roig is most likely to emerge victorious in this upcoming tennis match.